Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bingham | 27 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Pierre Brooks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gabe Brown * | 36 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Joey Hauser * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Max Christie * | 24 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| A.J. Hoggard * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tyson Walker | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Malik Hall | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jaden Akins | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Julius Marble | 13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 38 | 8-14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Jeremy Roach * | 37 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| W. Moore Jr. * | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 30 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| AJ Griffin * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Trevor Keels | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Theo John | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bates Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter