Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.4% | 91.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deandre Williams * | 29 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Alex Lomax * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| L. Nolley II * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 19 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Malcolm Dandridge | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Harris | 23 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Emoni Bates | 12 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Josh Minott | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Earl Timberlake | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard | 40 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 6-7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Drew Timme * | 36 | 10-16 | 1-1 | 4-8 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 27 | - |
| Julian Strawther * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Rasir Bolton * | 33 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Chet Holmgren * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Anton Watson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Nolan Hickman | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Hunter Sallis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter