Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Baylor Bears -7 (86-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Love | 32 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Brady Manek | 28 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Dontrez Styles | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Justin McKoy | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Puff Johnson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 45 | 8-17 | 5-10 | 9-10 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 40 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 39 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7-15 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 27 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Turner | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Adam Flagler * | 41 | 10-25 | 3-11 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 6 | - |
| James Akinjo * | 39 | 6-20 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Kendall Brown * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Matthew Mayer * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Flo Thamba * | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jeremy Sochan | 34 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 6-8 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Dale Bonner | 32 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
* = starter