Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos -11 (53-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Nolley II * | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Deandre Williams * | 32 | 7-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Duren * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Alex Lomax * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Lester Quinones * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Earl Timberlake | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Harris | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Malcolm Dandridge | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chandler Lawson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Minott | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jayden Hardaway | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Emoni Bates | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abu Kigab | 34 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Emmanuel Akot | 32 | 3-12 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -6 | - |
| Mladen Armus | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | - |
| M. Shaver Jr. * | 31 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Tyson Degenhart * | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Max Rice | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Naje Smith | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Lukas Milner | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter