Model Predictions
| Model | Marquette Golden Eagles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (27.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +32 (95-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Morsell | 26 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Lewis | 26 | 2-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| K. Kuath | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| G. Elliott | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Emarion Ellis | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Kolek * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| O. Prosper * | 27 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| O. Ighodaro | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| David Joplin | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kam Jones | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Stevie Mitchell | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Carney | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Kennedy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cameron Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Love * | 34 | 6-15 | 6-13 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Brady Manek * | 33 | 10-15 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 27 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 30 | 1-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Armando Bacot * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Dontrez Styles | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Puff Johnson | 13 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Justin McKoy | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D'Marco Dunn | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kerwin Walton | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Creighton Lebo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan McAdoo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Duwe Farris | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter