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2022-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Marquette Golden Eagles North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 23.8% 76.2% -
Bradley-Terry 36.8% 63.2% -
Margin 32.1% 67.9% +4.1 (27.9 off)
Pythagorean 28.5% 71.5% -
Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.4% 90.6% -
Log Adjusted 9.4% 90.6% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +32 (95-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Morsell 26 5-12 0-3 1-4 7 1 0 0 2 11 5 -
J. Lewis 26 2-15 2-7 0-0 8 1 1 1 1 6 1 -
K. Kuath 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 5 0 6 11 -
G. Elliott 11 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
E. Ellis 5 0-2 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Kolek * 28 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 10 0 0 0 3 9 -
O. Prosper * 27 6-10 4-8 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 16 9 -
O. Ighodaro 19 3-8 0-0 2-2 2 1 2 1 3 8 3 -
D. Joplin 14 2-4 0-1 0-1 4 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
K. Jones 13 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
S. Mitchell 11 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 6 4 -
B. Carney 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Kennedy 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Love * 34 6-15 6-13 5-7 3 1 0 0 2 23 10 -
L. Black * 34 2-4 0-1 0-0 7 8 2 0 2 4 15 -
B. Manek * 33 10-15 5-10 3-3 11 3 0 2 2 28 27 -
RJ Davis * 30 1-10 1-5 1-2 4 12 0 0 1 4 9 -
A. Bacot * 28 6-13 0-0 5-5 10 3 1 1 1 17 18 -
D. Styles 15 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 6 8 -
P. Johnson 13 5-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 11 8 -
J. McKoy 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Dunn 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Walton 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Lebo 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
R. McAdoo 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Farris 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter