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Model Predictions

Model UConn Huskies DePaul Blue Demons Spread Result
Elo 43.3% 56.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 64.8% 35.2% - ✓
Margin 68.3% 31.7% - ✓
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 94.8% 5.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 95.2% 4.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 59.8% 40.2% - ✓

Actual: DePaul Blue Demons -2 (78-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Muhl * 34 5-8 2-4 0-0 1 5 1 1 4 12 8 -9.9
Caroline Ducharme * 33 8-12 2-5 1-2 4 2 0 0 2 19 11 -10.4
Christyn Williams * 32 7-12 0-1 3-4 2 3 3 0 1 17 12 -6.7
O. Nelson-Ododa * 26 3-6 0-0 0-2 6 3 1 0 2 6 8 +3.7
D. Juhász * 22 4-7 0-2 0-0 12 4 0 1 1 8 17 +10.7
E. Westbrook 23 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 3 1 -3.3
Azzi Fudd 22 6-10 3-6 0-0 1 1 3 0 3 15 7 -12.6
A. Edwards 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -11.8

DePaul Blue Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Held * 40 5-9 2-5 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 12 9 +17.8
Sonya Morris * 38 8-23 1-4 2-2 5 2 1 0 1 19 3 +18.0
Darrione Rogers * 37 5-11 2-5 0-0 4 5 0 0 0 12 10 +16.0
Aneesah Morrow * 36 11-19 0-2 8-9 14 2 3 0 3 30 27 +17.9
Deja Church * 18 0-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 3 2 -3 +2.8
Kierra Collier 28 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 3 1 +9.3
Hannah Purcell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.7
Kendall Holmes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter