Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona Wildcats | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins -11 (63-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas * | 39 | 5-8 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Cate Reese * | 32 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Bendu Yeaney * | 30 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Lauren Ware * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Shaina Pellington * | 20 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Helena Pueyo | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Koi Love | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Madison Conner | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ariyah Copeland | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Gisela Sanchez | 3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IImar'I Thomas * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Natalie Chou * | 35 | 3-14 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Dominique Darius * | 34 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Kayla Owens * | 29 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Charisma Osborne * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Chantel Horvat | 24 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Izzy Anstey | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brynn Masikewich | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter