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2022-03-11

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% -
Bradley-Terry 27.8% 72.2% -
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +5.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.2% 72.8% -
Log Adjusted 27.1% 72.9% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +12 (79-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Murray * 32 4-9 2-4 3-4 3 4 0 0 0 13 11 -
D. Days * 29 3-7 0-3 8-10 10 0 1 1 1 14 18 -
M. Wilkinson * 28 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 8 5 -
X. Pinson * 28 1-6 0-4 2-2 1 3 1 0 3 4 0 -
E. Reid III * 20 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 4 2 -
E. Gaines 30 1-7 0-1 7-8 5 2 3 1 3 9 10 -
T. Eason 29 4-10 0-2 7-7 1 3 3 1 2 15 11 -
A. Fudge 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Toney 38 6-11 2-3 8-10 10 2 0 0 1 22 22 -
J. Williams 37 3-10 0-1 0-0 11 2 1 4 1 6 13 -
T. Wade 37 3-6 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 1 2 7 8 -
JD Notae 32 4-14 1-7 10-13 6 3 4 0 4 19 14 -
C. Lykes 29 5-9 1-4 7-8 1 2 3 0 1 18 14 -
S. Umude 20 3-7 1-3 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 7 5 -
D. Davis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
K. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -

* = starter