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2022-03-10

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 37.5% 62.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% -
Margin 30.3% 69.7% +4.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 18.5% 81.5% -
Efficiency 2.2% 97.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.5% 94.5% -
Log Adjusted 5.4% 94.6% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Brazile 30 5-11 1-2 4-4 8 1 2 2 2 15 15 -
D. Gordon 28 7-9 4-5 1-2 6 0 0 0 2 19 14 -
J. Pickett 25 4-9 1-3 5-5 3 3 2 0 1 14 12 -
R. DeGray III 24 2-7 1-3 1-1 3 3 2 0 1 6 6 -
A. Davis 22 1-6 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 0 2 4 2 -
J. Coleman 15 0-5 0-4 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -6 -
Ko. Brown * 30 3-7 0-2 1-1 3 3 2 0 5 7 3 -
Ka. Brown 26 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 1 5 2 7 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Murray * 35 2-8 0-3 3-5 5 9 0 0 2 7 11 -
X. Pinson * 32 3-6 1-3 4-4 0 5 3 0 4 11 9 -
D. Days * 29 6-11 2-4 2-2 7 0 3 1 2 16 14 -
M. Wilkinson * 24 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
E. Reid III * 22 6-6 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 2 2 12 9 -
T. Eason 28 7-11 1-4 4-5 5 0 1 2 6 19 10 -
E. Gaines 27 4-6 1-3 2-2 2 2 1 2 2 11 10 -
A. Fudge 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter