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2022-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 42.3% 57.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 67.1% 32.9% - โœ“
Margin 72.2% 27.8% -5.3 โœ“ (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% - โœ“
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.4% 19.6% - โœ“

Actual: Clemson Tigers -18 (64-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 34 5-15 1-4 4-5 10 3 2 0 3 15 12 -
W. Moore Jr. * 33 3-9 1-2 1-2 4 8 1 0 0 8 12 -
AJ Griffin * 28 4-7 4-5 0-0 3 2 0 1 2 12 9 -
Jeremy Roach * 25 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Mark Williams * 21 8-8 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 0 16 18 -
Trevor Keels 30 9-13 3-6 4-6 11 1 0 0 0 25 24 -
Theo John 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 2 1 -
Joey Baker 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Bates Jones 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Jaylen Blakes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Dawes 33 1-7 1-4 4-5 4 4 0 0 0 7 8 -
Alex Hemenway 20 1-5 1-4 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Nick Honor 15 1-7 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 2 -2 -
Ben Middlebrooks 3 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Chase Hunter * 32 5-8 1-2 2-2 4 2 1 0 0 13 12 -
PJ Hall * 29 6-15 1-3 4-5 3 0 1 2 2 17 6 -
Ian Schieffelin * 27 1-3 0-2 3-4 10 3 0 1 1 5 15 -
Naz Bohannon 23 5-7 1-1 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 13 10 -
Parker Fox 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Devin Foster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Daniel Nauseef 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jack Nauseef 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter