Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Utes | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +4 (70-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Utah Utes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennady McQueen * | 27 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | -14.1 |
| Dru Gylten * | 26 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Gianna Kneepkens * | 24 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | -5.3 |
| Jenna Johnson * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -7 | -9.5 |
| Peyton McFarland * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.7 |
| Dasia Young | 30 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -2.9 |
| Brynna Maxwell | 26 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | +11.3 |
| Kelsey Rees | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | +13.5 |
| Ines Vieira | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.3 |
| Isabel Palmer | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.7 |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Paopao * | 37 | 6-15 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | +4.8 |
| Endyia Rogers * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | +9.0 |
| Sydney Parrish * | 29 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +4.2 |
| N. Sabally * | 26 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +4.2 |
| Maddie Scherr * | 25 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +5.3 |
| Ahlise Hurst | 14 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +9.4 |
| Chanaya Pinto | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +1.9 |
| Kylee Watson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +0.6 |
| Sedona Prince | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Taylor Hosendove | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.6 |
* = starter