Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +16 (85-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Green * | 38 | 2-14 | 1-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Darius Perry * | 37 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Darius Johnson * | 34 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| C. Diong * | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| C.J. Walker * | 10 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Dre Fuller | 24 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jamille Reynolds | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tyem Freeman | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Mahan | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Nolley II | 30 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Lester Quinones | 28 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Jalen Duren | 27 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 30 | - |
| Tyler Harris | 18 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Josh Minott | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Earl Timberlake | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Chandler Lawson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Alex Lomax * | 31 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Deandre Williams * | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Malcolm Dandridge | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jayden Hardaway | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter