Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Tech Hokies | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | +7.7 | ✗ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -13 (59-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Alleyne | 30 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| K. Aluma | 30 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| D. Maddox | 29 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| S. Murphy | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. N'Guessan | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Ojiako | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| H. Cattoor * | 37 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Mutts * | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| S. Pedulla | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| L. Kidd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Varga | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Love * | 38 | 3-17 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 36 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Bacot * | 36 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - |
| B. Manek * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| L. Black * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| P. Johnson | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Walton | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. McKoy | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Dunn | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Styles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter