Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.4% | 73.6% | +5.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers -12 (58-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson | 39 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 18 | - |
| R. Potter | 38 | 4-15 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Francis | 37 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| S. Kourouma | 36 | 9-20 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 15 | - |
| M. Caicedo | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Harvey | 23 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -1 | - |
| A. Robinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Alston | 37 | 10-17 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 9 | - |
| J. Sanders | 34 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 4 | - |
| A. Allesch | 33 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| E. Carver | 31 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Porter | 24 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| B. Bigott | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Bertolina | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Frazier | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Gilbert | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter