Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte 49ers | Old Dominion Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Old Dominion Monarchs -3 (61-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jada McMillian * | 39 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-7 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 7 | +3.8 |
| KeKe McKinney * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 18 | +2.1 |
| Octavia Jett-Wilson * | 37 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 7 | +6.7 |
| Mikayla Boykin * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | -2.3 |
| Molina Williams * | 28 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | -2.0 |
| Jacee Busick | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.4 |
| Kameron Roach | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.2 |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajah Wayne * | 35 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Iggy Allen * | 34 | 6-24 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | -3 | -7.3 |
| Mariah Adams * | 33 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +2.5 |
| Amari Young * | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 17 | +3.7 |
| Brianna Jackson * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +4.5 |
| Kaye Clark | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +4.8 |
| Amhyia Moreland | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -7.3 |
| Joy Campbell | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.8 |
| Aziah Hudson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter