Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Wyoming Cowgirls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wyoming Cowgirls +14 (61-47). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar. Naro * | 32 | 4-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -4 | - |
| Dominique Leonidas * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Anna Ostlie * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Trista Hull * | 24 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Abby Muse * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jayda Clark | 30 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Linsey Lovrovich | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rachel Bowers | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sydney McQuietor | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mac. Naro | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Wyoming Cowgirls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommi Olson * | 33 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| McKinley Bradshaw * | 33 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Quinn Weidemann * | 33 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Alba Sanchez Ramos * | 27 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Allyson Fertig * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Grace Ellis | 23 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Emily Mellema | 23 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Paula Salazar | 21 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Lexi Bull | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter