Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.3% | 87.7% | +10.8 | ✓ (27.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +38 (94-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jawaun Newton * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Evan Kuhlman * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Preston Phillips * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Noah Frederking * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Shamar Givance * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Gage Bobe | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Blake Sisley | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Player #4897457 | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Blaise Beauchamp | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Iyen Enaruna | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Lewis * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Malcolm Miller | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jayden Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Nik Stadelman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter