Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | - |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | - |
| Margin | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | - |
| Pythagorean | 86.1% | 13.9% | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.1% | 0.9% | - | - |
| Log Adjusted | 99.1% | 0.9% | - | - |
| Points Off/Def | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | - |
Forfeit: Virginia Cavaliers -2 so far (0-2); predictions are graded once the game is final. Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.