Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.1% | 11.9% | -11.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -14 (43-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Moore Jr. * | 31 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Paolo Banchero * | 30 | 10-22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 6 | - |
| Jeremy Roach * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mark Williams * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| AJ Griffin * | 22 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Trevor Keels | 26 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Joey Baker | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Theo John | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Bates Jones | 10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jaylen Blakes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Savarino | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prentiss Hubb | 31 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Paul Atkinson | 29 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Cormac Ryan | 25 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Blake Wesley | 24 | 3-15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| J.R. Konieczny | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Matt Zona | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Elijah Morgan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dane Goodwin * | 33 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nate Laszewski * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tony Sanders | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter