Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Penn State Lady Lions | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.2% | 1.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.4% | 1.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Penn State Lady Lions -28 (79-107). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Clark * | 35 | 6-17 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 24 | +27.8 |
| K. Martin * | 31 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | +8.7 |
| Gabbie Marshall * | 30 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +19.8 |
| McKenna Warnock * | 29 | 10-12 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 24 | +18.1 |
| Monika Czinano * | 27 | 12-18 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | +8.8 |
| Kylie Feuerbach | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | +9.1 |
| Addison O'Grady | 10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +4.1 |
| Tomi Taiwo | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -9.2 |
| Sydney Affolter | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +1.4 |
| AJ Ediger | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3.3 |
Penn State Lady Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makenna Marisa * | 39 | 9-18 | 2-6 | 12-14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 21 | -15.9 |
| Leilani Kapinus * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | -21.2 |
| Kelly Jekot * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -6.4 |
| Sha'Lynn Hagans * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +0.1 |
| Ali Brigham * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | -11.1 |
| Tova Sabel | 33 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -2.6 |
| Anna Camden | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | -6.2 |
| Kayla Thomas | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +10.3 |
| Maddie Burke | 7 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.7 |
* = starter