Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.1% | 75.9% | +6.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.8% | 94.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +13 (78-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam McChesney | 23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| H. Fleming Jr. | 22 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Mark Freeman | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Alston Andrews | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Antonio Reeves * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Josiah Strong * | 35 | 3-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kendall Lewis * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Abdou Ndiaye * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Emon Washington | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Harouna Sissoko | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jayden Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Schmitt | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nik Stadelman | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Malcolm Miller | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Carter | 34 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Trae Berhow | 32 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Antwan Kimmons | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cole Henry | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| AJ Green * | 38 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Nate Heise * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tywhon Pickford * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Bowen Born | 22 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Tytan Anderson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Austin Phyfe | 5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Drew Daniel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| James Betz | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Derek Krogmann | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter