Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.2% | 81.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +10 (63-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pierce * | 39 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| B. Stevenson * | 39 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Taylor * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 26 | - |
| K. Sanders * | 29 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Koroma * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Franklin | 21 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| T. Jaakkola | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Colvin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Dhal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Esparza | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Manjon | 36 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| C. Fuller | 35 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| E. Pepper * | 36 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Milling * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| C. Anigwe * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Ba | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Murphy | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| F. Borra | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. DeBruhl | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Adebayo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter