Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Hawkeyes | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.6% | 80.4% | +7.8 | ✗ (16.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -9 (66-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray | 40 | 6-16 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Bohannon | 29 | 2-8 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Joe Toussaint | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Josh Ogundele | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Riley Mulvey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ahron Ulis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tony Perkins * | 27 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Patrick McCaffery * | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Filip Rebraca * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Connor McCaffery | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Payton Sandfort | 15 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Kris Murray | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Ivey * | 34 | 9-18 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Sasha Stefanovic * | 33 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| E. Hunter Jr. * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Mason Gillis * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Zach Edey * | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Trevion Williams | 23 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Ethan Morton | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Thompson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Newman | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter