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2022-03-09

Model Predictions

Model SMU Mustangs UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% -
Margin 26.2% 73.8% +5.7 (27.3 off)
Pythagorean 26.1% 73.9% -

Actual: UCF Knights +33 (61-28). Predictions use season-end ratings.

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wiggins 32 3-7 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 7 2 -
S. Wilkinson 32 1-8 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 1 1 3 1 -
K. White 31 4-15 0-4 0-0 2 0 2 0 5 8 -8 -
J. Smith 28 0-5 0-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 5 2 -4 -
D. Sanderlin 20 2-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
R. Bradley 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
P. Bayliss 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 4 4 -
K. Warthen 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Jones 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
D. Mathis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Z. Rufus 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Criswell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Battles 31 4-13 1-5 2-2 3 2 2 1 2 11 4 -
S. Meertens 26 4-5 0-0 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 10 9 -
D. Thomas 26 4-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 8 11 -
M. Kaba 25 5-13 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 0 10 5 -
B. Smith 23 4-9 0-0 5-6 5 0 2 2 1 13 12 -
A. Lewis 23 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 5 5 -
T. Sanders 22 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 5 2 0 0 2 8 -
A. Burney 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 2 2 -
N. Luma 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
L. Jewett 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Ripley 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Verhulst 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter