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Model Predictions

Model St. John's Red Storm Georgetown Hoyas Spread Result
Elo 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 57.3% 42.7% - โœ“
Margin 67.7% 32.3% - โœ“
Pythagorean 71.7% 28.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.8% 9.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.4% 9.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.0% 37.0% - โœ“

Actual: Georgetown Hoyas -28 (52-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Leilani Correa * 31 2-12 1-7 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 5 0 +17.1
Rayven Peeples * 25 6-8 0-0 4-4 10 2 1 1 1 16 21 +0.5
Kadaja Bailey * 25 1-7 1-3 2-2 5 2 1 0 2 5 4 +20.7
Danielle Patterson * 12 1-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 0 -5.3
Unique Drake * 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 4 +10.0
Camree Clegg 29 5-8 5-7 5-7 3 7 2 0 3 20 21 +15.9
Danielle Cosgrove 25 2-8 2-7 4-4 2 4 0 0 0 10 8 +26.4
Sitota Gines 16 4-5 3-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 11 9 +12.5
Emma Nolan 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 2 8 +11.0
Katie Burton 7 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 1 +1.2
Sophia Nolan 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.2
Sara Zabrecky 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -4.3
Idan Shlush 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.2

Georgetown Hoyas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Milan Bolden-Morris * 35 5-20 3-10 4-4 8 1 1 0 2 17 5 -21.5
Kelsey Ransom * 31 3-10 0-0 3-3 6 0 3 0 5 9 3 -17.0
Kaylin West * 30 2-5 0-1 3-3 3 5 0 0 4 7 6 -13.5
Graceann Bennett * 14 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -3 -5.5
Shanniah Wright * 13 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 5 -5.4
Ariel Jenkins 21 1-5 0-2 2-2 6 0 2 1 2 4 6 -9.4
Anita Kelava 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 0 2 3 -15.6
Brianna Scott 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 2 5 -5.3
Teaghan Flaherty 11 0-2 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -1.2
Mary Clougherty 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -9.9
Kaliyah Myricks 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 1 1 -2.3
Natalie Jasper 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 2 +3.2

* = starter