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2021-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Davidson Wildcats Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 63.7% 36.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% - โœ“
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 โœ— (6.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 32.1% 67.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.2% 61.8% - โœ—

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -1 (78-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Foster Loyer * 34 3-7 3-7 2-2 5 8 2 0 1 11 18 -
Michael Jones * 32 8-11 3-3 2-2 1 4 1 0 2 21 14 -
Luka Brajkovic * 30 10-16 2-4 0-0 7 3 1 1 3 22 15 -
Hyunjung Lee * 30 6-12 4-8 1-1 4 3 0 0 2 17 10 -
Sam Mennenga * 23 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
Grant Huffman 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Desmond Watson 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 1 0 0 4 -
Nelson Boachie-Yiadom 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 1 1 2 2 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Shackelford * 33 8-15 4-11 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 20 9 -
J. Quinerly * 32 5-16 2-6 1-2 0 6 1 0 2 13 2 -
Keon Ellis * 32 3-9 2-7 1-1 4 4 2 1 1 9 10 -
Juwan Gary * 24 4-5 3-4 4-5 8 0 0 1 1 15 18 -
Charles Bediako * 19 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Noah Gurley 21 4-7 1-2 0-0 6 0 1 2 2 9 9 -
JD Davison 19 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 4 0 0 0 4 8 -
Darius Miles 14 2-8 0-4 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
Jusaun Holt 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter