Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | +4.9 | ✓ (24.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +29 (98-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armando Bacot * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 33 | - |
| RJ Davis * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Caleb Love * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Leaky Black * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Dawson Garcia * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Harris | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Brady Manek | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D'Marco Dunn | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kerwin Walton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin McKoy | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Dontrez Styles | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Tshiebwe * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 27 | - |
| Jacob Toppin | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Daimion Collins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brennan Canada | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kareem Watkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter