Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.7% | 48.3% | -0.4 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -10 (70-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Dangerfield | 36 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 34 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 34 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 26 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| S. Dolson | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Han Xu | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Johannes | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard | 33 | 3-14 | 3-8 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 32 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 30 | 4-15 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -4 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 30 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 25 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Monique Billings | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kaila Charles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter