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2022-08-02

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 9.2% 90.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 11.2% 88.8% - ✓
Margin 9.6% 90.4% +12.3 ✓ (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 32.9% 67.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 9.9% 90.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 9.9% 90.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 22.3% 77.7% - ✓

Actual: New York Liberty +29 (102-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brittney Sykes * 29 9-17 0-2 1-2 6 3 2 0 19 - -
Nneka Ogwumike * 27 5-14 1-3 4-4 2 2 1 0 15 - -
Jordin Canada * 27 2-5 1-2 2-2 0 4 1 0 7 - -
Katie Lou Samuelson * 21 3-10 0-6 0-1 3 3 2 0 6 - -
Chiney Ogwumike * 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Olivia Nelson-Ododa 24 6-7 0-0 0-1 4 1 3 0 12 - -
Lexie Brown 24 2-6 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 1 6 - -
Chennedy Carter 15 2-9 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 4 - -
Kianna Smith 11 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Jasmine Walker 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Crystal Dangerfield * 26 2-4 0-1 1-2 3 4 0 0 5 - -
Natasha Howard * 23 9-10 1-2 5-6 11 0 0 1 24 - -
Sabrina Ionescu * 23 11-16 5-9 4-4 6 4 3 0 31 - -
Stefanie Dolson * 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 - -
Rebecca Allen * 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Han Xu 26 5-12 1-2 2-2 7 8 0 1 13 - -
Marine Johannès 21 4-10 1-6 3-3 3 1 4 0 12 - -
Sami Whitcomb 21 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 3 2 0 6 - -
Michaela Onyenwere 21 1-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Jocelyn Willoughby 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
DiDi Richards 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter