Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✓ (23.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +24 (87-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cunningham | 35 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| B. Turner | 34 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| S. Peddy | 31 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 31 | 5-15 | 0-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| J. Simms | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Gray | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 11 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| K. Davis | 7 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | - |
| C. Williams | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Jones | 26 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 24 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| D. Bonner | 23 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Carrington | 21 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Jones | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| N. Clouden | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Holmes | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Williams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter