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2022-07-31

Model Predictions

Model Las Vegas Aces Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 87.7% 12.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 84.9% 15.1% - โœ“
Margin 92.4% 7.6% -13.8 โœ“ (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 65.8% 34.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.9% 10.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.9% 10.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 74.4% 25.6% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever -25 (69-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Las Vegas Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chelsea Gray * 28 2-5 0-1 1-2 4 7 2 0 5 - -
Jackie Young * 26 5-15 1-2 2-2 7 1 1 1 13 - -
Kelsey Plum * 25 9-12 3-4 5-6 3 1 0 0 26 - -
Dearica Hamby * 21 2-5 0-2 1-2 3 3 0 0 5 - -
A'ja Wilson * 20 5-11 0-1 3-3 5 4 2 0 13 - -
Kiah Stokes 17 2-3 0-0 2-2 10 0 2 1 6 - -
Riquna Williams 17 2-4 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Theresa Plaisance 14 6-10 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 13 - -
Iliana Rupert 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 - -
Kierstan Bell 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 - -
Aisha Sheppard 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Sydney Colson 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
NaLyssa Smith * 31 5-11 2-4 6-6 13 1 0 0 18 - -
Tiffany Mitchell * 27 1-7 1-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 - -
Victoria Vivians * 25 3-12 2-5 0-0 3 0 0 1 8 - -
Queen Egbo * 13 0-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Danielle Robinson * 8 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Destanni Henderson 31 6-14 0-4 4-5 2 4 0 0 16 - -
Lexie Hull 19 1-7 0-5 2-2 2 1 1 1 4 - -
Emma Cannon 18 3-6 1-1 1-2 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Emily Engstler 15 1-2 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 1 5 - -
Rennia Davis 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter