Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +10 (90-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Ogwumike | 33 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 30 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Toliver | 27 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| B. Sykes | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Carter | 20 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 12 | - |
| J. Canada | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Walker | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Smith | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| L. Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 35 | 7-18 | 5-13 | 11-12 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 16 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 35 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Turner | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | - |
| S. Peddy | 33 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 26 | 12-20 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 18 | - |
| J. Simms | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| S. Thomas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter