Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.5 | ✗ (26.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -16 (76-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naz Hillmon | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Rhyne Howard | 32 | 8-15 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 30 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 27 | 11-14 | 4-5 | 5-8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 20 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 17 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Durr | 10 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Beatrice Mompremier | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young | 33 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Kelsey Plum | 30 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 4-6 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| A'ja Wilson | 30 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 29 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R. Williams | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Dearica Hamby | 22 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Plaisance | 11 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Iliana Rupert | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Aisha Sheppard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter