Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✗ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -10 (75-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 32 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 32 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 30 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| A. Durr | 19 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 19 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 17 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Beatrice Mompremier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 38 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 38 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 35 | 5-17 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 32 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 32 | 7-19 | 2-10 | 7-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Jennie Simms | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Sam Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter