Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +11 (118-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 48 | 11-28 | 2-7 | 8-11 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 24 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 47 | 13-20 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 29 | - |
| B. Turner | 44 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 43 | 5-23 | 5-17 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| S. Peddy | 31 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. DeShields | 22 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| R. Gray | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Simms | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. McBride | 42 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 9-9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| S. Fowles | 37 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Shepard | 37 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 19 | - |
| A. Powers | 37 | 13-24 | 3-7 | 6-7 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 35 | 20 | - |
| R. Banham | 31 | 8-14 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 22 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Carleton | 19 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| D. Dantas | 13 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| N. Milic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter