Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✗ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +3 (84-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 34 | 7-18 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | - | - | |
| Natasha Howard * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Marine Johannès * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 17 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Crystal Dangerfield * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Sami Whitcomb | 21 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| DiDi Richards | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Han Xu | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Cunningham * | 34 | 10-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Shey Peddy * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Diana Taurasi * | 33 | 6-16 | 4-10 | 7-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith * | 32 | 2-12 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Brianna Turner * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reshanda Gray | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Diamond DeShields | 15 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jennie Simms | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sam Thomas | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter