Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 35 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 12 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 34 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 4-14 | 1-10 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | - |
| S. Peddy | 32 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| B. Turner | 23 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| R. Gray | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. DeShields | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Simms | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Canada | 37 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -1 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 35 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| N. Ogwumike | 34 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 17 | - |
| L. Brown | 34 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| L. Cambage | 29 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| C. Ogwumike | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Walker | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter