Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.1% | 27.9% | -5.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +10 (84-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu | 37 | 5-18 | 3-12 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Johannes | 36 | 5-11 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 33 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| S. Dolson | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Han Xu | 18 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| DiDi Richards | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brown | 38 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 33 | 4-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 33 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 32 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| L. Cambage | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Chiney Ogwumike | 17 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Jasmine Walker | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kristi Toliver | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter