Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | +3.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -11 (81-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiffany Hayes | 30 | 8-15 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Rhyne Howard | 29 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 29 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 27 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Monique Billings | 18 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 16 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 16 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Durr | 16 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu | 42 | 6-19 | 1-10 | 4-4 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| M. Johannes | 38 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 36 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 36 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Dolson | 33 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| DiDi Richards | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Han Xu | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter