Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +21 (99-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 36 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
| N. Smith | 33 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| V. Vivians | 32 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| E. Engstler | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | - |
| D. Robinson | 21 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Q. Egbo | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| D. Henderson | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Cannon | 9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Hartley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| L. Hull | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Pointer | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| S. Peddy | 31 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 31 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 30 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 14 | - |
| D. DeShields | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| R. Gray | 13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 4 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Simms | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter