Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +1.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +12 (83-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 35 | 5-16 | 3-6 | 9-9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| V. Vivians | 34 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| N. Smith | 32 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 13 | - |
| D. Robinson | 25 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Q. Egbo | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| E. Engstler | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Cannon | 13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| L. Hull | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Henderson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 33 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 7-17 | 7-15 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 16 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 32 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| S. Peddy | 29 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| D. DeShields | 26 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| R. Gray | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Simms | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Thomas | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter