Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +12 (100-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 36 | 9-15 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 15 | - |
| B. Turner | 35 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 31 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 11-12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17 | - |
| S. Peddy | 30 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. DeShields | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 15 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jefferson | 32 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 15 | - |
| K. McBride | 32 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Powers | 29 | 4-13 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| D. Dantas | 26 | 6-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| S. Fowles | 22 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Shepard | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 18 | - |
| R. Banham | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. Carleton | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter