Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -13 (71-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shepard | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 30 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| K. McBride | 29 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| A. Powers | 28 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| D. Dantas | 22 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| N. Achonwa | 18 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| R. Banham | 17 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| B. Carleton | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| N. Milic | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| E. Westbrook | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Charles | 34 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Turner | 34 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 33 | 9-18 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 17 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 3-10 | 3-10 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| S. Peddy | 27 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. DeShields | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Simms | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Thomas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter