Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | -1.3 | ✗ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +13 (105-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. McDonald | 34 | 7-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| A. Durr | 25 | 8-17 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| R. Howard | 22 | 5-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Billings | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| K. Wallace | 20 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| D. Slocum | 17 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Mompremier | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| N. Coffey | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Jones | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 24 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| C. Williams | 24 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| A. Thomas | 21 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| D. Bonner | 20 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Jones | 20 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| D. Carrington | 20 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Holmes | 18 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Clouden | 16 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Jones | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter