Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -9 (90-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 43 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 41 | 8-17 | 2-5 | 9-11 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Tina Charles | 39 | 6-16 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 36 | 7-16 | 3-11 | 3-4 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 27 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Diamond DeShields | 22 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Jennie Simms | 9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kristine Anigwe | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud | 39 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 35 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Shakira Austin | 32 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Ariel Atkins | 32 | 3-16 | 1-8 | 8-9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 29 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Rui Machida | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Tianna Hawkins | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter