Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +2 (90-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aari McDonald | 39 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Rhyne Howard | 37 | 9-18 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 29 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| A. Durr | 25 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 19 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Monique Billings | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Turner | 36 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 34 | 6-15 | 3-10 | 8-9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Tina Charles | 33 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 32 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Shey Peddy | 26 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Diamond DeShields | 24 | 1-9 | 1-5 | 7-10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Sam Thomas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter