Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.7% | 65.3% | +3.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +9 (75-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 34 | 7-14 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 4 | - |
| V. Vivians | 33 | 2-12 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -6 | - |
| Q. Egbo | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| N. Smith | 22 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -1 | - |
| D. Robinson | 22 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| E. Engstler | 21 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| D. Henderson | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Coates | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Hartley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Hull | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Howard | 33 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| C. Parker-Tyus | 27 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. McDonald | 27 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| K. Wallace | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 25 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Coffey | 23 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Billings | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Vaughn | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| N. Hillmon | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Walker | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter