Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✗ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -4 (70-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu | 34 | 6-15 | 5-10 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 33 | 7-20 | 1-8 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 27 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Dolson | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 24 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Han Xu | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Durr | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud | 32 | 6-16 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Ariel Atkins | 31 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Elena Delle Donne | 30 | 7-13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 25 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Shakira Austin | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Elizabeth Williams | 13 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Rui Machida | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter