Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✓ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream +27 (81-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamond DeShields | 36 | 8-27 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 5 | - |
| Diggins-Smith | 28 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Turner | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Tina Charles | 25 | 2-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 24 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sam Thomas | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kristine Anigwe | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard | 26 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 26 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 26 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 26 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 22 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Monique Billings | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Megan Walker | 13 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Kia Vaughn | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Beatrice Mompremier | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter